Public ATP coverage-qualified profile built from charted matches. Start with the summary, then follow one reliable trait into the wider tour.
Scouting Summary
Joao Fonseca profiles as a first-strike aggressor after opponent-strength weighting, uncertainty checks, and sample normalization. Joao Fonseca changes direction or takes the forehand inside more often than the adjusted peer baseline (+4.8 pts vs adjusted baseline), which is usually a front-foot signal. Once the point moves forward, the finishing rate is softer than the stronger adjusted net profiles (-6.9 pts vs adjusted baseline).
What stands out
What opponents can target
Similar Profiles
These are the closest style matches in the same tour and season view.
The top line stays simple. Expand any card when you want the raw sample, uncertainty, baseline, rank, and nearby names in the leaderboard.
Profile Shape
Read the page like a scout
Deep return rate
28.4%
Higher values usually mean the return is buying time, pinning the server back, and moving the point off easy first-ball offense.
Adjusted value: 28.4%
Raw value: 28.1%
Baseline: 29.3%
Vs baseline: -1.0 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 26.6-30.1
Effective sample size: 1726.3
Sample: 1734 returnable returns · weighted 1783
Threshold: 300+ returnable returns
Forehand attack rate
46.5%
Higher values point to a forehand that steps on the point instead of simply recycling crosscourt.
Adjusted value: 46.5%
Raw value: 47.8%
Baseline: 41.7%
Vs baseline: +4.8 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 44.8-48.2
Effective sample size: 2414.0
Sample: 2425 charted forehand directions · weighted 2490
Threshold: 500+ charted forehand directions
Serve variety
96 / 100
Higher values usually mean the first-ball read is harder because serve patterns are not concentrated in one lane.
Adjusted value: 96 / 100
Raw value: 96 / 100
Baseline: 96 / 100
Vs baseline: -0.5 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 95.2-96.4
Effective sample size: 2211.7
Sample: 2222 charted serves · weighted 2285
Threshold: 300+ charted serves
Net approach rate
10.2%
Higher values point to a profile that uses the front court as a recurring pressure tool rather than an emergency option.
Adjusted value: 10.2%
Raw value: 10.0%
Baseline: 11.8%
Vs baseline: -1.6 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 9.4-10.9
Effective sample size: 4532.8
Sample: 457 net points across 4554 total points · weighted 4684
Threshold: 30+ net points and 600+ total points
Net conversion
61.6%
Higher values point to cleaner front-court execution once the approach or transition decision is made.
Adjusted value: 61.6%
Raw value: 60.8%
Baseline: 68.5%
Vs baseline: -6.9 pts
Confidence: Medium confidence
90% interval: 57.9-65.4
Effective sample size: 455.1
Sample: 457 net points · weighted 464
Threshold: 30+ net points
Break-point resistance
58.4%
Higher values point to a service profile that stays stable when the score tightens.
Adjusted value: 58.4%
Raw value: 57.3%
Baseline: 62.4%
Vs baseline: -4.0 pts
Confidence: Low confidence
90% interval: 51.6-65.2
Effective sample size: 142.3
Sample: 143 break points faced on serve · weighted 147
Threshold: 20+ break points faced on serve
Nearby names
No nearby leaderboard context is available here.
Break-point attack
34.5%
Higher values point to a return profile that leans forward at the moment the service game can swing.
Adjusted value: 34.5%
Raw value: 33.8%
Baseline: 39.2%
Vs baseline: -4.6 pts
Confidence: Medium confidence
90% interval: 29.2-39.9
Effective sample size: 212.2
Sample: 213 break points on return · weighted 218
Threshold: 20+ break points on return
Short service points
58.3%
Higher values point to service games that stay short and front-footed. Lower values usually mean a profile that lives in longer points.
Adjusted value: 58.3%
Raw value: 57.8%
Baseline: 59.2%
Vs baseline: -0.8 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 55.5-61.2
Effective sample size: 802.4
Sample: 804 charted service points · weighted 831
Threshold: 300+ charted service points
Surface cards only show up when the selected season window has at least 10 charted matches on that surface.
Surface
14 charted hard matches. The surface profile leans most clearly into forehand intent (+4.3 pts vs adjusted baseline), while net conversion is softer (-8.9 pts vs adjusted baseline).
14 charted matches on hard.
Surface
10 charted clay matches. The surface profile leans most clearly into forehand intent (+2.7 pts vs adjusted baseline), while bp resistance is softer (-4.1 pts vs adjusted baseline).
10 charted matches on clay.
Methodology
The methodology page explains thresholds, weighting, uncertainty, reliability grades, and why some players or surfaces disappear when the sample gets too thin.
Private workflow
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