Public ATP coverage-qualified profile built from charted matches. Start with the summary, then follow one reliable trait into the wider tour.
Scouting Summary
Daniil Medvedev profiles as a attritional absorber after opponent-strength weighting, uncertainty checks, and sample normalization. Daniil Medvedev drives more returns deep than the adjusted peer baseline (+1.4 pts vs adjusted baseline), which tends to buy time and push the server out of the first-ball pattern. Daniil Medvedev plays through longer service points more often than the front-foot first-strike profiles in the adjusted sample (-6.8 pts vs adjusted baseline).
What stands out
What opponents can target
Similar Profiles
These are the closest style matches in the same tour and season view.
The top line stays simple. Expand any card when you want the raw sample, uncertainty, baseline, rank, and nearby names in the leaderboard.
Profile Shape
Read the page like a scout
Deep return rate
30.8%
Higher values usually mean the return is buying time, pinning the server back, and moving the point off easy first-ball offense.
Adjusted value: 30.8%
Raw value: 31.3%
Baseline: 29.3%
Vs baseline: +1.4 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 29.0-32.5
Effective sample size: 1929.8
Sample: 1939 returnable returns · weighted 1989
Threshold: 300+ returnable returns
Forehand attack rate
37.3%
Higher values point to a forehand that steps on the point instead of simply recycling crosscourt.
Adjusted value: 37.3%
Raw value: 36.2%
Baseline: 41.7%
Vs baseline: -4.4 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 35.9-38.7
Effective sample size: 3156.3
Sample: 3174 charted forehand directions · weighted 3261
Threshold: 500+ charted forehand directions
Serve variety
95 / 100
Higher values usually mean the first-ball read is harder because serve patterns are not concentrated in one lane.
Adjusted value: 95 / 100
Raw value: 95 / 100
Baseline: 96 / 100
Vs baseline: -1.3 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 94.3-95.6
Effective sample size: 2252.2
Sample: 2264 charted serves · weighted 2334
Threshold: 300+ charted serves
Net approach rate
11.8%
Higher values point to a profile that uses the front court as a recurring pressure tool rather than an emergency option.
Adjusted value: 11.8%
Raw value: 11.9%
Baseline: 11.8%
Vs baseline: +0.1 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 11.1-12.6
Effective sample size: 4764.1
Sample: 572 net points across 4788 total points · weighted 4926
Threshold: 30+ net points and 600+ total points
Net conversion
64.6%
Higher values point to cleaner front-court execution once the approach or transition decision is made.
Adjusted value: 64.6%
Raw value: 64.2%
Baseline: 68.5%
Vs baseline: -3.9 pts
Confidence: Medium confidence
90% interval: 61.3-67.9
Effective sample size: 569.4
Sample: 572 net points · weighted 584
Threshold: 30+ net points
Break-point resistance
62.3%
Higher values point to a service profile that stays stable when the score tightens.
Adjusted value: 62.3%
Raw value: 61.8%
Baseline: 62.4%
Vs baseline: -0.2 pts
Confidence: Low confidence
90% interval: 56.1-68.4
Effective sample size: 169.2
Sample: 170 break points faced on serve · weighted 177
Threshold: 20+ break points faced on serve
Nearby names
No nearby leaderboard context is available here.
Break-point attack
39.5%
Higher values point to a return profile that leans forward at the moment the service game can swing.
Adjusted value: 39.5%
Raw value: 39.7%
Baseline: 39.2%
Vs baseline: +0.4 pts
Confidence: Medium confidence
90% interval: 34.5-44.6
Effective sample size: 251.0
Sample: 252 break points on return · weighted 257
Threshold: 20+ break points on return
Short service points
52.3%
Higher values point to service games that stay short and front-footed. Lower values usually mean a profile that lives in longer points.
Adjusted value: 52.3%
Raw value: 50.0%
Baseline: 59.2%
Vs baseline: -6.8 pts
Confidence: High confidence
90% interval: 50.0-54.7
Effective sample size: 1257.9
Sample: 1263 charted service points · weighted 1315
Threshold: 300+ charted service points
Surface cards only show up when the selected season window has at least 10 charted matches on that surface.
Surface
20 charted hard matches. The surface profile leans most clearly into bp resistance (+1.0 pts vs adjusted baseline), while first-strike share is softer (-4.8 pts vs adjusted baseline).
20 charted matches on hard.
Methodology
The methodology page explains thresholds, weighting, uncertainty, reliability grades, and why some players or surfaces disappear when the sample gets too thin.
Private workflow
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